Well it would seem that Tap Night has regressed as although he jumped ok he could never get himself into a challenging position. I do wonder though whether he would be suited by a step up in trip now?
14.25 Lingfield DORMOUSE
I would have been happier putting this horse up to day had he not had such an off day at Leicester last week however looking at his profile and the fact the stable have brought him out so quickly would suggest that there was nothing seriously wrong.
The horse goes well on undulating tracks in general but really loves this unique track and his record here reads: 2111
He also has a great record on heavy going having won 5 times from 11 starts
9 of his 10 wins have come in Class 4 races
Noel Fehily has only ridden the horse twice but his record reads: 31
The horse when returned to the track between 6 and 10 days has won 3 from 11 starts
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with William Hill
Tuesday, January 31, 2017
Sunday, January 29, 2017
30th January 2016
A couple of interesting runners at Ayr today
16.00 Ayr TAP NIGHT
The horse has plenty of ability but is unreliable what is interesting today is that the horse has been dropped in grade a visor fitted and is returned to fences at a track he goes well at. The last time the horse was running over the larger obstacles was in 2015 when he was contesting Class 2,Graded and Listed races now in a Class 4. It may be that he has regressed but he is worth risking one last time.
When racing at Ayr : 3 wins from 8 runs
When racing on heavy ground: 11376
All wins have come when racing at distance short of 2m5f
The horse has won 4 from 8 when racing in Class 4 races
All wins have come in fields of 11 runners or less
When racing 31 to 90 days after last race horse has won 5 times from 14 starts
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with either Ladbrokes or Corals
Ayr - N RICHARDS
16.35 Ayr BETTER GETALONG
The trainer does well with his NH horses at this track (since 2014) when they are priced at 4/1 or less and are ridden by Mr R Day, B. Harding or C Nichol
6 winners from 9 runners (+9.35)
Let's have a win bet (only if 4/1 or less at the off) currently at around 11/4
16.00 Ayr TAP NIGHT
The horse has plenty of ability but is unreliable what is interesting today is that the horse has been dropped in grade a visor fitted and is returned to fences at a track he goes well at. The last time the horse was running over the larger obstacles was in 2015 when he was contesting Class 2,Graded and Listed races now in a Class 4. It may be that he has regressed but he is worth risking one last time.
When racing at Ayr : 3 wins from 8 runs
When racing on heavy ground: 11376
All wins have come when racing at distance short of 2m5f
The horse has won 4 from 8 when racing in Class 4 races
All wins have come in fields of 11 runners or less
When racing 31 to 90 days after last race horse has won 5 times from 14 starts
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with either Ladbrokes or Corals
Ayr - N RICHARDS
16.35 Ayr BETTER GETALONG
The trainer does well with his NH horses at this track (since 2014) when they are priced at 4/1 or less and are ridden by Mr R Day, B. Harding or C Nichol
6 winners from 9 runners (+9.35)
Let's have a win bet (only if 4/1 or less at the off) currently at around 11/4
29h January 2017
I have seen better days of racing than today, so we are going to leave it alone today but we were so pleased to have the 10/1 winner of the SkyBet Chase yesterday
I will be giving a full run down of the profit and loss of the blog in the coming week
Back tomorrow
I will be giving a full run down of the profit and loss of the blog in the coming week
Back tomorrow
Saturday, January 28, 2017
14.25 Lingfield
Sorry I misssed one for today
14.25 Lingfield BOLD PREDICTION
The horse has a record at this tracks of 1143 with the last 2 runs coming in good Class 2 races he is dropped back in grade today and should take all the beating
All wins have come in Class 3 and below
All wins have come when racing in fields of 11 runners or less.
The horse has won 3 from 7 when racing 1 to 15 days after last race.
When racing in January and February: 1321
Let's have an each way bet on this horse at 6/1 with Stan James.
14.25 Lingfield BOLD PREDICTION
The horse has a record at this tracks of 1143 with the last 2 runs coming in good Class 2 races he is dropped back in grade today and should take all the beating
All wins have come in Class 3 and below
All wins have come when racing in fields of 11 runners or less.
The horse has won 3 from 7 when racing 1 to 15 days after last race.
When racing in January and February: 1321
Let's have an each way bet on this horse at 6/1 with Stan James.
28th January 201715
After some very poor racing the last couple of days we have some quality fields today at Cheltenham and Doncaster and there are a few horses that we feel will run well today.
13.10 Cheltenham BUYWISE
An old favorite of ours both David and I feel that this horse will run well today. The horse usually comes good at this time of year and if we look at his record in January and February it reads: 11311 compared to 54F15013455238477 throughout the rest of the year.
He does have a tendency to run his best races when rested 31 to 90 days after last race as a record of 151310 shows, compared to three wins from sixteen runs when rested for all other periods. His record when racing at 2m5f to 2m7.5f reads: 1477111.
Although he has won on heavy ground I have a feeling that this slightly better ground suits him and some of his best runs at this tracks have come on good and GTS ground.
I feel that there will be some pace in this race with the likes of tenor Nivernais in there and this should suit our selection.
I do feel that the stable could be in better form but he is worth risking at the prices.
Let's have a each way bet on him at 14/1 with William Hill.
The second horse we look at runs at Doncaster
12.50 Doncaster COUSIN KHEE
The horse has dropped to a very tempting mark having won on his only other time he was rated between 111 and 120.
I also feel that this is more his grade as his record in Class 4 hurdle races reads: 41311
.
All of his wins have come on good or GTS ground
Let's have a each way at 14/1 with Bet365
15.40 Doncaster ZIGA BOY
I think this will have been the target for this horse this season and he has his ground again. Although this is a slightly better renewal I do feel he will run well here again.
There is some pace in this race from Potters Cross which he can sit behind as he did last year and hopefully he can take up the running in the straight again as he did last year.
When racing at Doncaster: 113
When racing on good ground: 2 wins from 6 runs
When racing in Listed company: 1
When racing on tracks with slight undulations: 3 wins from 8 runs.
Let's have an each way bet at 11/1 with William Hill.
1
13.10 Cheltenham BUYWISE
An old favorite of ours both David and I feel that this horse will run well today. The horse usually comes good at this time of year and if we look at his record in January and February it reads: 11311 compared to 54F15013455238477 throughout the rest of the year.
He does have a tendency to run his best races when rested 31 to 90 days after last race as a record of 151310 shows, compared to three wins from sixteen runs when rested for all other periods. His record when racing at 2m5f to 2m7.5f reads: 1477111.
Although he has won on heavy ground I have a feeling that this slightly better ground suits him and some of his best runs at this tracks have come on good and GTS ground.
I feel that there will be some pace in this race with the likes of tenor Nivernais in there and this should suit our selection.
I do feel that the stable could be in better form but he is worth risking at the prices.
Let's have a each way bet on him at 14/1 with William Hill.
The second horse we look at runs at Doncaster
12.50 Doncaster COUSIN KHEE
The horse has dropped to a very tempting mark having won on his only other time he was rated between 111 and 120.
I also feel that this is more his grade as his record in Class 4 hurdle races reads: 41311
.
All of his wins have come on good or GTS ground
Let's have a each way at 14/1 with Bet365
15.40 Doncaster ZIGA BOY
I think this will have been the target for this horse this season and he has his ground again. Although this is a slightly better renewal I do feel he will run well here again.
There is some pace in this race from Potters Cross which he can sit behind as he did last year and hopefully he can take up the running in the straight again as he did last year.
When racing at Doncaster: 113
When racing on good ground: 2 wins from 6 runs
When racing in Listed company: 1
When racing on tracks with slight undulations: 3 wins from 8 runs.
Let's have an each way bet at 11/1 with William Hill.
1
Wednesday, January 25, 2017
We have one runner from David today
14.30 Catterick JALEO
The horse was deemed good enough, and was well fancied for the Lanzarote Hurdle last time out but he got no further than the first. This race will be too his liking and he does have a touch of class.
The horse has won both starts at this track and if we look at his record at undulating tracks it reads: 111.
His record on GTS ground reads: 111F
When racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners: 21
Let's have a win bet on the horse at 9/4 with Victor Chandler
14.30 Catterick JALEO
The horse was deemed good enough, and was well fancied for the Lanzarote Hurdle last time out but he got no further than the first. This race will be too his liking and he does have a touch of class.
The horse has won both starts at this track and if we look at his record at undulating tracks it reads: 111.
His record on GTS ground reads: 111F
When racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners: 21
Let's have a win bet on the horse at 9/4 with Victor Chandler
Tuesday, January 24, 2017
15.40 Southwell TOMMY DOCC
The horse was running in Grade 3 events in 2015 and was very lightly raced last season. If he has retained any of his former ability he should be a class above these.
He can run well fresh and did win only start at this track (even thought that was over 5f). All of his wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners and two of his three wins have come when ridden by P Makin.
Let's have a win bet on the horse (as only 7 runners) at 7/1 generally.
That's all for today
The horse was running in Grade 3 events in 2015 and was very lightly raced last season. If he has retained any of his former ability he should be a class above these.
He can run well fresh and did win only start at this track (even thought that was over 5f). All of his wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners and two of his three wins have come when ridden by P Makin.
Let's have a win bet on the horse (as only 7 runners) at 7/1 generally.
That's all for today
Sunday, January 22, 2017
23rd January 2017
BANGOR
14.20 TIMOTEO
14.20 BOBS BOY
A. KING
The trainer does well at this track with his runners in Hurdle, Maiden Hurdle, NH Flat and Handicap Chase races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 9-y-o. The horse should be ridden by W Hutchinson or W Featherstone
10 winners from 17 runners (+40.19)
Let's have a win bet on TIMOTEO (5/2 Bet365)
WJ GREATEX
The trainer does well at the track with runners in Hurdle, NH Flat, Maiden NH Flat, Novice Hurdle and Handicap Chase races when they have had no run or finished in the first 5 on their previous run
11 winners from 15 runners (+34.8)
Let's have an each way bet on BOBS BOY (8/1 Bet365)
On a busy day for the blog David and I fancy one other runner a piece
15.20 Newcastle NO PLANNING
The horse I feel will relish this step back up in trip after running well last time out over 2m4f. I do hope that he tries to make all in this small field.
He has 4 wins on soft and heavy ground. He has won 4 from 9 when racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners. He has won 5 from10 when racing 31 to 90 days. 4 of his 6 wins have come when racing in races worth less than 10k.
Let's have a win bet at 5/2 with William Hill
17.30 Wolverhampton GABRIEL THE THUG
The trainer and jockey have a good record on the AW and this horse is looking well handicapped now. 4 of his 5 wins have been over CD
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with William Hill
14.20 TIMOTEO
14.20 BOBS BOY
A. KING
The trainer does well at this track with his runners in Hurdle, Maiden Hurdle, NH Flat and Handicap Chase races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 9-y-o. The horse should be ridden by W Hutchinson or W Featherstone
10 winners from 17 runners (+40.19)
Let's have a win bet on TIMOTEO (5/2 Bet365)
WJ GREATEX
The trainer does well at the track with runners in Hurdle, NH Flat, Maiden NH Flat, Novice Hurdle and Handicap Chase races when they have had no run or finished in the first 5 on their previous run
11 winners from 15 runners (+34.8)
Let's have an each way bet on BOBS BOY (8/1 Bet365)
On a busy day for the blog David and I fancy one other runner a piece
15.20 Newcastle NO PLANNING
The horse I feel will relish this step back up in trip after running well last time out over 2m4f. I do hope that he tries to make all in this small field.
He has 4 wins on soft and heavy ground. He has won 4 from 9 when racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners. He has won 5 from10 when racing 31 to 90 days. 4 of his 6 wins have come when racing in races worth less than 10k.
Let's have a win bet at 5/2 with William Hill
17.30 Wolverhampton GABRIEL THE THUG
The trainer and jockey have a good record on the AW and this horse is looking well handicapped now. 4 of his 5 wins have been over CD
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with William Hill
Saturday, January 21, 2017
22nd January 2016
FONTWELL
NP MULLHOLLAND
14.00 SOUPY SOUPS
The trainers does well with his horses running in Novice Chase, Handicap Hurdle and Handicap Novice Hurdle races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 7-y-o. The horse should be running in a Class 3 or 4 race and be ridden by Noel Fehily or 6 other jockeys.
10 wins from 12 runners (+31.18)
Let's have a win bet on this horse today
That's all for today.
NP MULLHOLLAND
14.00 SOUPY SOUPS
The trainers does well with his horses running in Novice Chase, Handicap Hurdle and Handicap Novice Hurdle races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 7-y-o. The horse should be running in a Class 3 or 4 race and be ridden by Noel Fehily or 6 other jockeys.
10 wins from 12 runners (+31.18)
Let's have a win bet on this horse today
That's all for today.
Friday, January 20, 2017
January 21st 2017
We had a couple of horses that we liked at Ascot this afternoon but that meeting has been abandoned and we cannot find anything that is of interest to us at the other meetings so we will be back tomorrow
15.20 Chepstow
Well we cannot agree on this race so David and I have decided to advise two horses in this race with his been a longshot however after yesterdays winner that was well backed into 5/1 having been advised at 14/1 who I am to argue with him.
15.20 Chepstow ALTIEPIX
15.20 Chepstow LOUGHALDER
ALTIEPIX
Formally with G Elliott and now with Kerry Lee this is a horse that I have had in my notebook for some time. I feel that if he can get to the front and get into a decent rhythm he could take all the beating the only concern is that a few from this yard have needed the run. He is well suited to soft ground and this looks to be his trip
Lets have an each way bet at 5/1 with Betfred and BetVictor
LOUGHALDER
David has gone for this longshot and I will let him explain why this is
The horse really loves this track, and the below profiles are all based on his chase runs only, where he is won 4 times from 7 runs.
He has won 6 time from 13 runs when racing 16 to 30 days after last race
He always seems to come good after the New Year as he is 0 from 13 when racing in November and December but has won 8 from 15 when racing in January to May (January: 13)
The horse has won 4 from 11 on soft ground.
If today is not his day this is a horse that I will be keeping a close eye on in the coming months
Lets have a small each way bet at 40/1 with Bet365
15.20 Chepstow ALTIEPIX
15.20 Chepstow LOUGHALDER
ALTIEPIX
Formally with G Elliott and now with Kerry Lee this is a horse that I have had in my notebook for some time. I feel that if he can get to the front and get into a decent rhythm he could take all the beating the only concern is that a few from this yard have needed the run. He is well suited to soft ground and this looks to be his trip
Lets have an each way bet at 5/1 with Betfred and BetVictor
LOUGHALDER
David has gone for this longshot and I will let him explain why this is
The horse really loves this track, and the below profiles are all based on his chase runs only, where he is won 4 times from 7 runs.
He has won 6 time from 13 runs when racing 16 to 30 days after last race
He always seems to come good after the New Year as he is 0 from 13 when racing in November and December but has won 8 from 15 when racing in January to May (January: 13)
The horse has won 4 from 11 on soft ground.
If today is not his day this is a horse that I will be keeping a close eye on in the coming months
Lets have a small each way bet at 40/1 with Bet365
Thursday, January 19, 2017
20th January 2017
Good Morning
We will be back later this morning after we have had a good look at the 15.20 Chepstow.
We will be back later this morning after we have had a good look at the 15.20 Chepstow.
Wednesday, January 18, 2017
LUDLOW
13.20 MINELLA REBELLION (price condition 6/1 or less)
NJ Henderson has a very good record in NH Flat and Maiden Hurdle races at this track when the horse is priced at 6/1 or less and is ridden by one of the following jockeys - Mr Bass, P Carberry, B Geraghty, D Jacob, J McGrath, S Waley-Cohen.
10 winners from 13 runners (+10.84 points)
The horse itself was odds on for its first run at Doncaster but looked in need of that run and with the stable is much better form now I would expect an improved showing from the horse today
The sire has a 22% strike rate at this track with its progeny and also a 15% SR on soft ground.
Lets have a win bet at 4/1 with Bet365.
18.25 Chelmsford THREEBAGSUE
This horse has a great record in Class 6 events on the AW of 51111. The horse also seems a standing dish in AW Claiming races: 1211. His last win coming at this track.
The horse looks as though he has a bit to find with some of these but his record in this class of race coupled with that his price makes him a stand out bet in this race.
Lets have an each way bet at 14/1 with Bet365
13.20 MINELLA REBELLION (price condition 6/1 or less)
NJ Henderson has a very good record in NH Flat and Maiden Hurdle races at this track when the horse is priced at 6/1 or less and is ridden by one of the following jockeys - Mr Bass, P Carberry, B Geraghty, D Jacob, J McGrath, S Waley-Cohen.
10 winners from 13 runners (+10.84 points)
The horse itself was odds on for its first run at Doncaster but looked in need of that run and with the stable is much better form now I would expect an improved showing from the horse today
The sire has a 22% strike rate at this track with its progeny and also a 15% SR on soft ground.
Lets have a win bet at 4/1 with Bet365.
18.25 Chelmsford THREEBAGSUE
This horse has a great record in Class 6 events on the AW of 51111. The horse also seems a standing dish in AW Claiming races: 1211. His last win coming at this track.
The horse looks as though he has a bit to find with some of these but his record in this class of race coupled with that his price makes him a stand out bet in this race.
Lets have an each way bet at 14/1 with Bet365
Monday, January 16, 2017
EXETER
13.00 RIDGEWAY FLYER
16.20 OVER TO SAM
The trainer does especially well at this track with his runners in Maiden Hurdles, Novice Chase and Novice Hurdle races. The key jockey is Noel Fehily
13 winners from 22 runners (+44.59 points)
The stable is in good form as over the last 14 days they have had 6 winners from 17 runners (9 placed).
From the start of the year Noel Fehily has ridden 7 winners from 13 rides.
RIDGEWAY FLYER
Top rated in HorseRaceBase and second rated on speed ratings in GeegeezGold. The horse may improve again and is certainly worth an each way bet at 5/1 with BetVictor and Paddy Power.
OVER TO SAM
Very interesting runner in that he was bought by the stable after winning a point to point easily and the second from that race has already won at a decent level over hurdles. Also from a prolific NH sire. Worth a win bet at 5/2 with Bet365 and Betfred
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