14.55 Lingfield TEMPURAN
I have narrowed this race down to two horses the one above and SAINT HONORE and have plumped for TEMPURAN.
The reason I have gone for this horse is that he has won over CD when he led and at one point was 12 lengths clear and then was eased down inside the final furlong. If he can repeat that run he will take all the beating here.
I hope that the bounce him out again and he can lead all the way again
He is currently best priced at 13/2
Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Saturday, February 18, 2017
19th February 2017
Well yesterdays runner lost all chance at the start and maybe I should have taken into the account the jockey, but that's is racing and I am sure we will have our moments of good fortune as well.
15.50 Ffos Las BOB FORD (best odds 11/2)
Rebecca Curtis
The trainer does well in Handicap and Handicap Novice Chase races at this track when the horses are ridden by Mr SP Bowen, JM Moore, BJ Geraghty, Tom Scudamore, DN Russell or 3 other jockeys.
12 winners from 17 runners (+45.53 points)
2014 - 2 from 2
2015 - 6 from 6
2016 - 3 from 7 (stable was out of sorts this year but still managed winners at this track)
The stable sent out no runners in the last 14 days until yesterday when they had the following figures: 1225P so it would seem that there is nothing amiss.
Horse Profile (Chase runs)
Not exactly the most consistent of horses and I hope today is a going day.
The horse has only ever won at Chepstow: 11PF and here: 2P11
All wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners
3m: 1P
Class 3 and 4: 2P121P1
All wins have come on soft or heavy ground
PACE (in this type of race at this track those that lead or race prominently are favoured)
Pearl Swan,Wadorf Salad and Bob Ford can force the pace but Bob Ford is equally happy to track leaders or race prominently so that is not a concern.
JOCKEY
1 year course form - 7 wins, 5 places from 26 rides (rides this track well)
TRAINER
1 year course form - 10 wins, 8 places from 42 runners
The horse is the top 3 rated on HRB's ratings
The horse is in the top 3 on Geegeez speed ratings
15.50 Ffos Las BOB FORD (best odds 11/2)
Rebecca Curtis
The trainer does well in Handicap and Handicap Novice Chase races at this track when the horses are ridden by Mr SP Bowen, JM Moore, BJ Geraghty, Tom Scudamore, DN Russell or 3 other jockeys.
12 winners from 17 runners (+45.53 points)
2014 - 2 from 2
2015 - 6 from 6
2016 - 3 from 7 (stable was out of sorts this year but still managed winners at this track)
The stable sent out no runners in the last 14 days until yesterday when they had the following figures: 1225P so it would seem that there is nothing amiss.
Horse Profile (Chase runs)
Not exactly the most consistent of horses and I hope today is a going day.
The horse has only ever won at Chepstow: 11PF and here: 2P11
All wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners
3m: 1P
Class 3 and 4: 2P121P1
All wins have come on soft or heavy ground
PACE (in this type of race at this track those that lead or race prominently are favoured)
Pearl Swan,Wadorf Salad and Bob Ford can force the pace but Bob Ford is equally happy to track leaders or race prominently so that is not a concern.
JOCKEY
1 year course form - 7 wins, 5 places from 26 rides (rides this track well)
TRAINER
1 year course form - 10 wins, 8 places from 42 runners
The horse is the top 3 rated on HRB's ratings
The horse is in the top 3 on Geegeez speed ratings
COGRY made too many mistakes again especially on the first circuit and only jumped well when booted into the fence - he is clearly talented but his jumping really needs to improve if he has any chance of winning again.
Todays Selection is based on Trainer form
19.45 Kempton BARGAIN BUY
WJ Haggas - last 30 days 4 winners from 6 runners, last 14 days 2 winners from 2 runners.
Trainer Track form - last year 10 winners from 28 selections (5 others have placed)
Horses rested for 60 days+ have a 20% SR
Profile
Does seem better at thi distance : 7f: 121, 1m: 143
The horse is clearly better rested between races: 16 to 30 days: 243, 31 days+: 111
10k races or less: 41112
Polytrack: 1213
PACE - there is plenty of pace in this race which should suit this hold up horse.
DRAW - not ideal in the outside berth but should be able to drop in from this draw.
Todays Selection is based on Trainer form
19.45 Kempton BARGAIN BUY
WJ Haggas - last 30 days 4 winners from 6 runners, last 14 days 2 winners from 2 runners.
Trainer Track form - last year 10 winners from 28 selections (5 others have placed)
Horses rested for 60 days+ have a 20% SR
Profile
Does seem better at thi distance : 7f: 121, 1m: 143
The horse is clearly better rested between races: 16 to 30 days: 243, 31 days+: 111
10k races or less: 41112
Polytrack: 1213
PACE - there is plenty of pace in this race which should suit this hold up horse.
DRAW - not ideal in the outside berth but should be able to drop in from this draw.
Friday, February 17, 2017
17th February 2017
Good Morning
We have no bets at all this week hence the lack of posts - we have also be doing a review of our methods and although we have both been fans of profiles for a long time it would seem that they are not working as well as they used to. So although we will be using profiles they will not be our point of entry.
What we have decided is to use the rating provided by
https://splitsecondratings.blogspot.fr/
We use the top three rated as a way in and then look at profiles, pace, trainer form at track, HRB ratings and speed ratings from Geegeez Gold.
Our first bet this week is
16.15 Sandown COGRY
The horse has had its jumping problems but drops in class here as well as racing in a smaller field and hopefully this will lessen the pressure up on his jumping
Profile
Class 3 races : 11
Soft or Heavy ground: 5 wins from12 runs
1 to 11 runners: 6 wins from 9 runs (probably as less pressure on his jumping) compare this to 0 wins from 14 runs in fields of 12 runners+
RH track: 1
February: 113
Pace of race
Using Geegeez Gold it would seem that this sort of race at this track suits horses that lead or race prominently. I feel that Pete the Feat will go off in front but hopefully COGRY will be race close up to this pace as he has in the past.
Trainer
The trainer has a 23% SR at this track in the last year and a 38% win and place strike rate
HRB rating - 3rd rated
Geegeez Gold - speed rating - not in first 3
We have no bets at all this week hence the lack of posts - we have also be doing a review of our methods and although we have both been fans of profiles for a long time it would seem that they are not working as well as they used to. So although we will be using profiles they will not be our point of entry.
What we have decided is to use the rating provided by
https://splitsecondratings.blogspot.fr/
We use the top three rated as a way in and then look at profiles, pace, trainer form at track, HRB ratings and speed ratings from Geegeez Gold.
Our first bet this week is
16.15 Sandown COGRY
The horse has had its jumping problems but drops in class here as well as racing in a smaller field and hopefully this will lessen the pressure up on his jumping
Profile
Class 3 races : 11
Soft or Heavy ground: 5 wins from12 runs
1 to 11 runners: 6 wins from 9 runs (probably as less pressure on his jumping) compare this to 0 wins from 14 runs in fields of 12 runners+
RH track: 1
February: 113
Pace of race
Using Geegeez Gold it would seem that this sort of race at this track suits horses that lead or race prominently. I feel that Pete the Feat will go off in front but hopefully COGRY will be race close up to this pace as he has in the past.
Trainer
The trainer has a 23% SR at this track in the last year and a 38% win and place strike rate
HRB rating - 3rd rated
Geegeez Gold - speed rating - not in first 3
Sunday, February 12, 2017
12th February (Update 2)
15.40 Sedgefield TRIPTICO
This former decent chaser is racing in a Class 5 event today and if he retains a semblance of his former ability he must take all the beating here. He did show that he retained some of that ability on not he first run for the yard and we hope that he comes on for that run and does not bounce.
When racing on heavy ground: 214
When racing in Class5 and below: 31
2 of his 3 wins have come in February and March
2 of his 3 wins wins have come when racing 16 to 60 days after last race.
Let's have an each way bet at 7/1 with Bet365
This former decent chaser is racing in a Class 5 event today and if he retains a semblance of his former ability he must take all the beating here. He did show that he retained some of that ability on not he first run for the yard and we hope that he comes on for that run and does not bounce.
When racing on heavy ground: 214
When racing in Class5 and below: 31
2 of his 3 wins have come in February and March
2 of his 3 wins wins have come when racing 16 to 60 days after last race.
Let's have an each way bet at 7/1 with Bet365
12th February (Update1)
LOUGHALDER ran well for a long way yesterday and David feels that like he said yesterday that if we see the horse running in a Class 5 handicap in the next few weeks then he should be backed. The less said the better about the other selection as it ran no sort of race.
We are going to have losing runs backing the price range of selections that we feel offer value but one winner can make a huge difference when they are priced at 14/1 or higher. We are not going to change our approach as we feel that our methodology is sound and a winner is just around the corner.
Today again we have some long priced selections again.
15.20 Exeter The Veterans Chase
HARRY TOPPER
This horse was once touted for the Gold Cup and has been running in far better races than this, in fact the last time he ran belowListed company was in 2013.
I feel that this drop in grade and return to this track should give us a good run for our money.
When racing at Exeter: 11,
When racing in Class 2 races and below: 111151
He has won 4 from 6 when racing at 2m
All wins have come in fields of 15 runners or less
He has won 4 from 7 on RH tracks.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Ladbrokes
BUYWISE
What am I doing putting this horse up again, well I have been waiting for it to return to a RH track which I thought would never happen so here we go again. I do feel that this step up in trip may be what is needed or it is just that I am grasping at straws.
When racing on a RH track: 11117
When racing in February: 11
The horse has won the only time it was returned to the track within 15 days.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Corals
14.50 Exeter REVE DE SIVOLA
The horse has yet to race below a Graded races over hurdles and this represents a huge drop in class and although he is now 12 he does retain some ability. I hope that he manages to get to the front today as BALLYMALIN also like to run from the front and I presume we may soon know our fate but at the price he is he is worth putting up as a selection.
The horse has won 4 from 8 on a RH track
The horse is clearly at its best on soft or heavy ground
The horse has won 3 from 8 when racing off a mark of 141 to 150
When racing in February: 1
Let's have an each way bet at 20/1 with BET365
We are going to have losing runs backing the price range of selections that we feel offer value but one winner can make a huge difference when they are priced at 14/1 or higher. We are not going to change our approach as we feel that our methodology is sound and a winner is just around the corner.
Today again we have some long priced selections again.
15.20 Exeter The Veterans Chase
HARRY TOPPER
This horse was once touted for the Gold Cup and has been running in far better races than this, in fact the last time he ran belowListed company was in 2013.
I feel that this drop in grade and return to this track should give us a good run for our money.
When racing at Exeter: 11,
When racing in Class 2 races and below: 111151
He has won 4 from 6 when racing at 2m
All wins have come in fields of 15 runners or less
He has won 4 from 7 on RH tracks.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Ladbrokes
BUYWISE
What am I doing putting this horse up again, well I have been waiting for it to return to a RH track which I thought would never happen so here we go again. I do feel that this step up in trip may be what is needed or it is just that I am grasping at straws.
When racing on a RH track: 11117
When racing in February: 11
The horse has won the only time it was returned to the track within 15 days.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Corals
14.50 Exeter REVE DE SIVOLA
The horse has yet to race below a Graded races over hurdles and this represents a huge drop in class and although he is now 12 he does retain some ability. I hope that he manages to get to the front today as BALLYMALIN also like to run from the front and I presume we may soon know our fate but at the price he is he is worth putting up as a selection.
The horse has won 4 from 8 on a RH track
The horse is clearly at its best on soft or heavy ground
The horse has won 3 from 8 when racing off a mark of 141 to 150
When racing in February: 1
Let's have an each way bet at 20/1 with BET365
Friday, February 10, 2017
11th February 2017 (update 1)
David has two horses for us today and both are longer odds hopefully they run as well as RUSSE BLANC and GABREY CHEVERTIN.
This is our 1st update as we are still looking at another couple of races. If we have anything our second update will be later this morning
14.20 Uttoxeter LOUGHALDER
The reasons behind picking this horse are two-fold.
1. For some bizarre reason he does seem to run well on his 5th start of the season. His record since going chasing on this start reads: 3111. Last year he was pulled up on his two previous starts and won at 16/1 next time out and he follows the same pattern this year as he has been pulled up on his last two starts.
2. His record at this track In handicap chase races reads: 121
The horse has won 5 from11 when racing in fields of 8 to 11 runners and Charlie Poste has 7 wins from 28 rides.
He will handle the ground conditions and he usually comegood at around this time of year
It may be that he is regressing but if he was agressively ridden ad could jump off in front I would feel that he was trying today. If it is not his day today we will be keeping an eye on him especially if dropped back to a Class 5 chase. However at today's odds and his record on his 5th start and at this track he is worth an investment.
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 25/1 with BetVictor.
16.35 Uttoxeter CALCULATED RISK
The horse went close at Ffos Las under similar conditions and I expect a good run from him today especially as the trainer does seem to be in form (unlike a lot of this field)
He clearly handles this ground having won 2 from 6 starts
The horse has won 2 from 7 when racing at 2m4f
The horse has dropped to a really low mark and does seem to come good at this time of year as well as the fact that he goes well on track that are slightly undulating or undulating.
Also Lizzie Kelly comes here for this ride after two rides at Warwick.
Let's have an each way bet at 10/1 with BetVictor
This is our 1st update as we are still looking at another couple of races. If we have anything our second update will be later this morning
14.20 Uttoxeter LOUGHALDER
The reasons behind picking this horse are two-fold.
1. For some bizarre reason he does seem to run well on his 5th start of the season. His record since going chasing on this start reads: 3111. Last year he was pulled up on his two previous starts and won at 16/1 next time out and he follows the same pattern this year as he has been pulled up on his last two starts.
2. His record at this track In handicap chase races reads: 121
The horse has won 5 from11 when racing in fields of 8 to 11 runners and Charlie Poste has 7 wins from 28 rides.
He will handle the ground conditions and he usually comegood at around this time of year
It may be that he is regressing but if he was agressively ridden ad could jump off in front I would feel that he was trying today. If it is not his day today we will be keeping an eye on him especially if dropped back to a Class 5 chase. However at today's odds and his record on his 5th start and at this track he is worth an investment.
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 25/1 with BetVictor.
16.35 Uttoxeter CALCULATED RISK
The horse went close at Ffos Las under similar conditions and I expect a good run from him today especially as the trainer does seem to be in form (unlike a lot of this field)
He clearly handles this ground having won 2 from 6 starts
The horse has won 2 from 7 when racing at 2m4f
The horse has dropped to a really low mark and does seem to come good at this time of year as well as the fact that he goes well on track that are slightly undulating or undulating.
Also Lizzie Kelly comes here for this ride after two rides at Warwick.
Let's have an each way bet at 10/1 with BetVictor
10th February 2017 (Update 2)
15.10 Kempton GAVREY CHAMBERTIN
The horse does not run in Class 3 races that often but has a very good record in them. David would have been happier had this been a hurdle race but at these odds he is willing to risk a small bet on the horse.
In Class 3 races and below he has won 8 from10 starts and if we only look at chase races with 11 runners or less and when he is ridden by T Scudamore (9 from19) his record reads: 11
Flat tracks he is 4 from7 and on RH tracks he is 2 from 5
David feels that if he can get to the front he may have a chance in this race.
Let's have a SMALLeach way bet at 18/1 Bet365
The horse does not run in Class 3 races that often but has a very good record in them. David would have been happier had this been a hurdle race but at these odds he is willing to risk a small bet on the horse.
In Class 3 races and below he has won 8 from10 starts and if we only look at chase races with 11 runners or less and when he is ridden by T Scudamore (9 from19) his record reads: 11
Flat tracks he is 4 from7 and on RH tracks he is 2 from 5
David feels that if he can get to the front he may have a chance in this race.
Let's have a SMALLeach way bet at 18/1 Bet365
Thursday, February 9, 2017
10th February 2017 (update 1)
We have a couple of selections at the moment and David is having a look at the 15.10 Kempton this morning, so if he can find anything I will be posting before midday.
15.20 Bangor SAROQUE
Ran ok last time out and the way he was staying on the time before at this track in this grade over 3m gives me hope that he can get into the winners enclosure over 5f further.
Both of his wins have come on soft or heavy ground and his record in Class 4 chases reads: 23.
When racing off a rating of 111 to 120: 13133
Let's have and each way bet at 11/2 with Bet365
WJ GREATEX - Bangor (2013 onwards)
The trainer has a superb record at this track in NH Flat races and Handicap Chase races, when the horse had either No Previous run or last time out finished in the first 5 home.
The horse must be ridden by G Sheehan or 3 other jockeys.
7 winners from 8 runners (+14.87)
16.25 Bangor STORM WARNING
Let's have a win bet at 15/8 Bet365
15.20 Bangor SAROQUE
Ran ok last time out and the way he was staying on the time before at this track in this grade over 3m gives me hope that he can get into the winners enclosure over 5f further.
Both of his wins have come on soft or heavy ground and his record in Class 4 chases reads: 23.
When racing off a rating of 111 to 120: 13133
Let's have and each way bet at 11/2 with Bet365
WJ GREATEX - Bangor (2013 onwards)
The trainer has a superb record at this track in NH Flat races and Handicap Chase races, when the horse had either No Previous run or last time out finished in the first 5 home.
The horse must be ridden by G Sheehan or 3 other jockeys.
7 winners from 8 runners (+14.87)
16.25 Bangor STORM WARNING
Let's have a win bet at 15/8 Bet365
9th February 2017
We had some decent runs for our money yesterday and we were pleased with the selections we made.
We only have some trial selections today
D JACOB - A KING 52% SR
14.00 Huntingdon MESSIRE DES OBEAUX
Mr JJ CODD - G ELLIOTT 34% SR
16.55 Thurles BACK BAR
That's all for today back tomorrow
We only have some trial selections today
D JACOB - A KING 52% SR
14.00 Huntingdon MESSIRE DES OBEAUX
Mr JJ CODD - G ELLIOTT 34% SR
16.55 Thurles BACK BAR
That's all for today back tomorrow
Wednesday, February 8, 2017
Final Update for 8th February
15.30 Chelmsford VOLUNTEER POINT
The horse we feel will be suited to a return to a small field and we feel that you can ignore his run at Newcastle last time as he has never been seen at his best on a straight track. He goes well at this track and this is his class of race.
Below profiles are based on AW racing only
1 to 7 runners: 14111
Class 2 races worth less than 20k: 1131
Chelmsford: 2113
LH bend: 5 wins from 9 starts
16 to 30 days: 1153
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 11/1 Bet365
The horse we feel will be suited to a return to a small field and we feel that you can ignore his run at Newcastle last time as he has never been seen at his best on a straight track. He goes well at this track and this is his class of race.
Below profiles are based on AW racing only
1 to 7 runners: 14111
Class 2 races worth less than 20k: 1131
Chelmsford: 2113
LH bend: 5 wins from 9 starts
16 to 30 days: 1153
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 11/1 Bet365
Tuesday, February 7, 2017
After the Calm the Storm
Having had a few blank days recently the racing has improved today and we have a few value bets today (well in our opinion anyway). There may be one more selection from Chelmsford but I am waiting on David for that one so will be back later, no later than midday.
We will start with the horse that we put up last night.
17.50 Kempton LIZZIES DREAM
The horse does seem to like the Polytrack surface having won 4 from 5 races on it, what we can see that since Wolves change to Tapeta he has never won at that track.
He has won both starts at this track but it was his record in Class 7 races that caught my eye: 51111
When racing 16 to 30 days after last race: 191
When acing in February: 161
15.10 Ludlow ALTIEPIX
The horse travelled really well last time out at Chepstow and looked the winner 3 out, but he seemed to run out of steam, as though the race was needed, and he should come on for that run. It is interesting that she has dropped the horse back in distance today
All of his wins have come on a RH track so the return to this direction is a plus.
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 11/2 Bet365
16.30 Carlisle RUSSE BLANC
The horse has finally come down in the ratings and is only 2lb higher than winning at Warwick last season. The ground is ideal and he looks as though this may be his race for the season. The drop in grade should also help.
His record in handicap races at this track reads: 321
He has a small field today which also suits as he is 4 from 14 in fields of 11 runners or less and 1 from15 in fields of 12 runners+.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Bet365
We will start with the horse that we put up last night.
17.50 Kempton LIZZIES DREAM
The horse does seem to like the Polytrack surface having won 4 from 5 races on it, what we can see that since Wolves change to Tapeta he has never won at that track.
He has won both starts at this track but it was his record in Class 7 races that caught my eye: 51111
When racing 16 to 30 days after last race: 191
When acing in February: 161
15.10 Ludlow ALTIEPIX
The horse travelled really well last time out at Chepstow and looked the winner 3 out, but he seemed to run out of steam, as though the race was needed, and he should come on for that run. It is interesting that she has dropped the horse back in distance today
All of his wins have come on a RH track so the return to this direction is a plus.
Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 11/2 Bet365
16.30 Carlisle RUSSE BLANC
The horse has finally come down in the ratings and is only 2lb higher than winning at Warwick last season. The ground is ideal and he looks as though this may be his race for the season. The drop in grade should also help.
His record in handicap races at this track reads: 321
He has a small field today which also suits as he is 4 from 14 in fields of 11 runners or less and 1 from15 in fields of 12 runners+.
Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Bet365
Early Doors for tomorrow
We have one tonight that is been backed and therefore we will put it up now and give reasoning tomorrow
17.50 Kempton LIZZYS DREAM
Let's have a win bet at 9/2 William Hill
17.50 Kempton LIZZYS DREAM
Let's have a win bet at 9/2 William Hill
Monday, February 6, 2017
Another Quiet Day
Well what can you say another very poor days racing and although we have had a good look we can find nothing of any interest.
There are also no Trail selection as there are no trainer and jockey combinations with over a 30% strike rate.
We will be back tomorrow
There are also no Trail selection as there are no trainer and jockey combinations with over a 30% strike rate.
We will be back tomorrow
Quiet Day
My god the racing is of a wry poor standard today and we can find nothing of any interest at all.
There are no Trail selections today as the only possible qualifier is now a non runner
We will be back tomorrow
There are no Trail selections today as the only possible qualifier is now a non runner
We will be back tomorrow
Sunday, February 5, 2017
5th February 2017
The racing at Mussleburgh and Punchestown is of a decent standard today but we can find nothing tempting us today.
We have decided to take a more cautious approach looking for strong profiles that offer value i.e. There will be no horses in the profiles section that will be less than 4/1.
There are no TRIAL selections today either but we have drawn up some rules that we are going to follow
1. We will only be looking at SR of 30%+
2. If there are more than one selection in the race this race will be avoided
3. The trainer must have had a winner in the last 14 days.
We will not be looking at adding many more rules than this as we do like simple systems
Enjoy your Sunday and we will be back tomorrow
We have decided to take a more cautious approach looking for strong profiles that offer value i.e. There will be no horses in the profiles section that will be less than 4/1.
There are no TRIAL selections today either but we have drawn up some rules that we are going to follow
1. We will only be looking at SR of 30%+
2. If there are more than one selection in the race this race will be avoided
3. The trainer must have had a winner in the last 14 days.
We will not be looking at adding many more rules than this as we do like simple systems
Enjoy your Sunday and we will be back tomorrow
Friday, February 3, 2017
14.05 Mussleburgh ALVARADO
The horse will have to run well in this race to get his handicap mark so he can once again have a tilt at the Grand National. I do feel he will enjoy this step back up in trip and although in some quarters there are concerns about this tight track his record here reads: 212.
Good ground: 11PU51, 4m+: 244, RH track: 5 wins from11 runs
Let's have a each way bet at 6/1 with Bet365
15.35 Sandown OTAGO TRAIL
The horse is very classy at his best as he showed when beating Bristol De Mai and then finishing second behind the same horse in the Peter Marsh at Haydock. Will love this ground and if he can get an easy lead I feel he can run these ragged.
All wins have come on soft or heavy ground, RH track:11321, Listed to Class 3: 13111, best on tracks with undulations.
Let's have a win bet at 9/2 with Bet365
The trail did very well yesterday with two winners. There is one race with two qualifiers today and I am not sure whether we should use this type of race, but we can always review the rules as we go along.
TRIAL - Trainer/Jockey combination
M Carberry/ B Ellison 40%SR. 15.15 Mussleburgh DORMINADA
BJ Geraghty/ H Fry 40% SR 15.00 Sandown BEHIND TIME
D Jacob/NA Twiston Davies 38%SR 15.00 Sandown EL TERREMOTO
A Kirby/ E Williams 37% SR 13.25 Lingfield BARON FLYER and 16.15 Lingfield APPLE DAYS
BJ Geraghty/P Hobbs 33% SR 13.15 Sandown BOLD HENRY
3rd February 2017
We have nothing of any interest today but we are starting a new trail looking at Jockey and Trainer strike rate over the last 2 years. These stats can easily be found on HorseRaceBase using the shortcuts.
As a trail I would be parting with any cash rather paper trading for the next month, then we will se if it is worth following or whether it will be assigned to the rubbish bin.
TRAIL - Trainer/Jockey Combinations
Mr R Chapman/K Slack - 67%SR
16.25 Catterick BELL WEIR
Adam Kirby/I Williams - 35%SR
16.40 Lingfield BURNSIDE
Robert Winston/M Herrington - 30% SR
14.30 Lingfield SOPHISTICATED HEIR
Miss G Andrews/Mrs P Sly - 30%SR
15.20 Catterick ACTINPIECES
As a trail I would be parting with any cash rather paper trading for the next month, then we will se if it is worth following or whether it will be assigned to the rubbish bin.
TRAIL - Trainer/Jockey Combinations
Mr R Chapman/K Slack - 67%SR
16.25 Catterick BELL WEIR
Adam Kirby/I Williams - 35%SR
16.40 Lingfield BURNSIDE
Robert Winston/M Herrington - 30% SR
14.30 Lingfield SOPHISTICATED HEIR
Miss G Andrews/Mrs P Sly - 30%SR
15.20 Catterick ACTINPIECES
Thursday, February 2, 2017
2nd February 2107
Quite a few to get through today with some interesting stats bets as well
15.45 Wincanton
BENNYS WELL
Loves heavy ground (6 wins from 8 runs) and really goes well at this track as well (11P), is interesting dropped in grade today and 7 of his 8 wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners has only won once in bigger fields.
Let's have an each way bet at 10/1 with Corals.
VIC DE TOUZAINE
Another from the Williams yard and looked to be improving last year and finished last year with a good one in this grade on heavy ground at Leicester.
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with Corals
15.55 Towcester TRY IT SOMETIMES
The horse could win what will be an attritional race and was the last one standing when he won on this type of ground at Uttoxeter. He has raced at this track before and finished second. The booking of Sean Bowen catches the eye and all of his wins have come when racing 16 to 30 days after last race.
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with BET365
The two interesting stats for today are
T LACEY - 1st time out in a handicap hurdle since 2014 he has had 4 wins from 9 runners (4125P3111)
He has one runner today and that is in the 14.45 Towcester PINNACLE PETER
He is worth risking a small each way bet at 12/1 generally
The other interesting stat is DM SIMCOCK with runners at Chelmsford that are racing at 1m5.5f or more and are racing at between 4f less or 3f more than their previous run.
4 winners from 5 runners (31111)
One such runner tonight 19.30 Chelmsford TETRADRACHM
Let's have a win bet at 9/2 Stan James
14.25 Lingfield DORMOUSE
I would have been happier putting this horse up to day had he not had such an off day at Leicester last week however looking at his profile and the fact the stable have brought him out so quickly would suggest that there was nothing seriously wrong.
The horse goes well on undulating tracks in general but really loves this unique track and his record here reads: 2111
He also has a great record on heavy going having won 5 times from 11 starts
9 of his 10 wins have come in Class 4 races
Noel Fehily has only ridden the horse twice but his record reads: 31
The horse when returned to the track between 6 and 10 days has won 3 from 11 starts
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with William Hill
15.45 Wincanton
BENNYS WELL
Loves heavy ground (6 wins from 8 runs) and really goes well at this track as well (11P), is interesting dropped in grade today and 7 of his 8 wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners has only won once in bigger fields.
Let's have an each way bet at 10/1 with Corals.
VIC DE TOUZAINE
Another from the Williams yard and looked to be improving last year and finished last year with a good one in this grade on heavy ground at Leicester.
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with Corals
15.55 Towcester TRY IT SOMETIMES
The horse could win what will be an attritional race and was the last one standing when he won on this type of ground at Uttoxeter. He has raced at this track before and finished second. The booking of Sean Bowen catches the eye and all of his wins have come when racing 16 to 30 days after last race.
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with BET365
The two interesting stats for today are
T LACEY - 1st time out in a handicap hurdle since 2014 he has had 4 wins from 9 runners (4125P3111)
He has one runner today and that is in the 14.45 Towcester PINNACLE PETER
He is worth risking a small each way bet at 12/1 generally
The other interesting stat is DM SIMCOCK with runners at Chelmsford that are racing at 1m5.5f or more and are racing at between 4f less or 3f more than their previous run.
4 winners from 5 runners (31111)
One such runner tonight 19.30 Chelmsford TETRADRACHM
Let's have a win bet at 9/2 Stan James
14.25 Lingfield DORMOUSE
I would have been happier putting this horse up to day had he not had such an off day at Leicester last week however looking at his profile and the fact the stable have brought him out so quickly would suggest that there was nothing seriously wrong.
The horse goes well on undulating tracks in general but really loves this unique track and his record here reads: 2111
He also has a great record on heavy going having won 5 times from 11 starts
9 of his 10 wins have come in Class 4 races
Noel Fehily has only ridden the horse twice but his record reads: 31
The horse when returned to the track between 6 and 10 days has won 3 from 11 starts
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with William Hill
Wednesday, February 1, 2017
1st February 2017
Well we spent ages looking at 15.30 at Hereford and whilst both of us could make a case for several horses we could not narrow it down from the following 4 horses
AACHEN - will love this ground but will need to bounce back from its last 3 runs
MOUNTAINOUS - another that will love this ground and did runner better than finishing position suggests last time
STREETS OF PROMISE - if fully wound up for this would have an astounding chance and is a promising stayer.
GOODTOKNOW will like this RH track and ran a cracking race last time out however his price is just to short
We have decided to skip the race today and we cannot find anything else of any interest so back tomorrow
AACHEN - will love this ground but will need to bounce back from its last 3 runs
MOUNTAINOUS - another that will love this ground and did runner better than finishing position suggests last time
STREETS OF PROMISE - if fully wound up for this would have an astounding chance and is a promising stayer.
GOODTOKNOW will like this RH track and ran a cracking race last time out however his price is just to short
We have decided to skip the race today and we cannot find anything else of any interest so back tomorrow
Tuesday, January 31, 2017
31st January 2017
Well it would seem that Tap Night has regressed as although he jumped ok he could never get himself into a challenging position. I do wonder though whether he would be suited by a step up in trip now?
14.25 Lingfield DORMOUSE
I would have been happier putting this horse up to day had he not had such an off day at Leicester last week however looking at his profile and the fact the stable have brought him out so quickly would suggest that there was nothing seriously wrong.
The horse goes well on undulating tracks in general but really loves this unique track and his record here reads: 2111
He also has a great record on heavy going having won 5 times from 11 starts
9 of his 10 wins have come in Class 4 races
Noel Fehily has only ridden the horse twice but his record reads: 31
The horse when returned to the track between 6 and 10 days has won 3 from 11 starts
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with William Hill
14.25 Lingfield DORMOUSE
I would have been happier putting this horse up to day had he not had such an off day at Leicester last week however looking at his profile and the fact the stable have brought him out so quickly would suggest that there was nothing seriously wrong.
The horse goes well on undulating tracks in general but really loves this unique track and his record here reads: 2111
He also has a great record on heavy going having won 5 times from 11 starts
9 of his 10 wins have come in Class 4 races
Noel Fehily has only ridden the horse twice but his record reads: 31
The horse when returned to the track between 6 and 10 days has won 3 from 11 starts
Let's have a win bet at 4/1 with William Hill
Sunday, January 29, 2017
30th January 2016
A couple of interesting runners at Ayr today
16.00 Ayr TAP NIGHT
The horse has plenty of ability but is unreliable what is interesting today is that the horse has been dropped in grade a visor fitted and is returned to fences at a track he goes well at. The last time the horse was running over the larger obstacles was in 2015 when he was contesting Class 2,Graded and Listed races now in a Class 4. It may be that he has regressed but he is worth risking one last time.
When racing at Ayr : 3 wins from 8 runs
When racing on heavy ground: 11376
All wins have come when racing at distance short of 2m5f
The horse has won 4 from 8 when racing in Class 4 races
All wins have come in fields of 11 runners or less
When racing 31 to 90 days after last race horse has won 5 times from 14 starts
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with either Ladbrokes or Corals
Ayr - N RICHARDS
16.35 Ayr BETTER GETALONG
The trainer does well with his NH horses at this track (since 2014) when they are priced at 4/1 or less and are ridden by Mr R Day, B. Harding or C Nichol
6 winners from 9 runners (+9.35)
Let's have a win bet (only if 4/1 or less at the off) currently at around 11/4
16.00 Ayr TAP NIGHT
The horse has plenty of ability but is unreliable what is interesting today is that the horse has been dropped in grade a visor fitted and is returned to fences at a track he goes well at. The last time the horse was running over the larger obstacles was in 2015 when he was contesting Class 2,Graded and Listed races now in a Class 4. It may be that he has regressed but he is worth risking one last time.
When racing at Ayr : 3 wins from 8 runs
When racing on heavy ground: 11376
All wins have come when racing at distance short of 2m5f
The horse has won 4 from 8 when racing in Class 4 races
All wins have come in fields of 11 runners or less
When racing 31 to 90 days after last race horse has won 5 times from 14 starts
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with either Ladbrokes or Corals
Ayr - N RICHARDS
16.35 Ayr BETTER GETALONG
The trainer does well with his NH horses at this track (since 2014) when they are priced at 4/1 or less and are ridden by Mr R Day, B. Harding or C Nichol
6 winners from 9 runners (+9.35)
Let's have a win bet (only if 4/1 or less at the off) currently at around 11/4
29h January 2017
I have seen better days of racing than today, so we are going to leave it alone today but we were so pleased to have the 10/1 winner of the SkyBet Chase yesterday
I will be giving a full run down of the profit and loss of the blog in the coming week
Back tomorrow
I will be giving a full run down of the profit and loss of the blog in the coming week
Back tomorrow
Saturday, January 28, 2017
14.25 Lingfield
Sorry I misssed one for today
14.25 Lingfield BOLD PREDICTION
The horse has a record at this tracks of 1143 with the last 2 runs coming in good Class 2 races he is dropped back in grade today and should take all the beating
All wins have come in Class 3 and below
All wins have come when racing in fields of 11 runners or less.
The horse has won 3 from 7 when racing 1 to 15 days after last race.
When racing in January and February: 1321
Let's have an each way bet on this horse at 6/1 with Stan James.
14.25 Lingfield BOLD PREDICTION
The horse has a record at this tracks of 1143 with the last 2 runs coming in good Class 2 races he is dropped back in grade today and should take all the beating
All wins have come in Class 3 and below
All wins have come when racing in fields of 11 runners or less.
The horse has won 3 from 7 when racing 1 to 15 days after last race.
When racing in January and February: 1321
Let's have an each way bet on this horse at 6/1 with Stan James.
28th January 201715
After some very poor racing the last couple of days we have some quality fields today at Cheltenham and Doncaster and there are a few horses that we feel will run well today.
13.10 Cheltenham BUYWISE
An old favorite of ours both David and I feel that this horse will run well today. The horse usually comes good at this time of year and if we look at his record in January and February it reads: 11311 compared to 54F15013455238477 throughout the rest of the year.
He does have a tendency to run his best races when rested 31 to 90 days after last race as a record of 151310 shows, compared to three wins from sixteen runs when rested for all other periods. His record when racing at 2m5f to 2m7.5f reads: 1477111.
Although he has won on heavy ground I have a feeling that this slightly better ground suits him and some of his best runs at this tracks have come on good and GTS ground.
I feel that there will be some pace in this race with the likes of tenor Nivernais in there and this should suit our selection.
I do feel that the stable could be in better form but he is worth risking at the prices.
Let's have a each way bet on him at 14/1 with William Hill.
The second horse we look at runs at Doncaster
12.50 Doncaster COUSIN KHEE
The horse has dropped to a very tempting mark having won on his only other time he was rated between 111 and 120.
I also feel that this is more his grade as his record in Class 4 hurdle races reads: 41311
.
All of his wins have come on good or GTS ground
Let's have a each way at 14/1 with Bet365
15.40 Doncaster ZIGA BOY
I think this will have been the target for this horse this season and he has his ground again. Although this is a slightly better renewal I do feel he will run well here again.
There is some pace in this race from Potters Cross which he can sit behind as he did last year and hopefully he can take up the running in the straight again as he did last year.
When racing at Doncaster: 113
When racing on good ground: 2 wins from 6 runs
When racing in Listed company: 1
When racing on tracks with slight undulations: 3 wins from 8 runs.
Let's have an each way bet at 11/1 with William Hill.
1
13.10 Cheltenham BUYWISE
An old favorite of ours both David and I feel that this horse will run well today. The horse usually comes good at this time of year and if we look at his record in January and February it reads: 11311 compared to 54F15013455238477 throughout the rest of the year.
He does have a tendency to run his best races when rested 31 to 90 days after last race as a record of 151310 shows, compared to three wins from sixteen runs when rested for all other periods. His record when racing at 2m5f to 2m7.5f reads: 1477111.
Although he has won on heavy ground I have a feeling that this slightly better ground suits him and some of his best runs at this tracks have come on good and GTS ground.
I feel that there will be some pace in this race with the likes of tenor Nivernais in there and this should suit our selection.
I do feel that the stable could be in better form but he is worth risking at the prices.
Let's have a each way bet on him at 14/1 with William Hill.
The second horse we look at runs at Doncaster
12.50 Doncaster COUSIN KHEE
The horse has dropped to a very tempting mark having won on his only other time he was rated between 111 and 120.
I also feel that this is more his grade as his record in Class 4 hurdle races reads: 41311
.
All of his wins have come on good or GTS ground
Let's have a each way at 14/1 with Bet365
15.40 Doncaster ZIGA BOY
I think this will have been the target for this horse this season and he has his ground again. Although this is a slightly better renewal I do feel he will run well here again.
There is some pace in this race from Potters Cross which he can sit behind as he did last year and hopefully he can take up the running in the straight again as he did last year.
When racing at Doncaster: 113
When racing on good ground: 2 wins from 6 runs
When racing in Listed company: 1
When racing on tracks with slight undulations: 3 wins from 8 runs.
Let's have an each way bet at 11/1 with William Hill.
1
Wednesday, January 25, 2017
We have one runner from David today
14.30 Catterick JALEO
The horse was deemed good enough, and was well fancied for the Lanzarote Hurdle last time out but he got no further than the first. This race will be too his liking and he does have a touch of class.
The horse has won both starts at this track and if we look at his record at undulating tracks it reads: 111.
His record on GTS ground reads: 111F
When racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners: 21
Let's have a win bet on the horse at 9/4 with Victor Chandler
14.30 Catterick JALEO
The horse was deemed good enough, and was well fancied for the Lanzarote Hurdle last time out but he got no further than the first. This race will be too his liking and he does have a touch of class.
The horse has won both starts at this track and if we look at his record at undulating tracks it reads: 111.
His record on GTS ground reads: 111F
When racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners: 21
Let's have a win bet on the horse at 9/4 with Victor Chandler
Tuesday, January 24, 2017
15.40 Southwell TOMMY DOCC
The horse was running in Grade 3 events in 2015 and was very lightly raced last season. If he has retained any of his former ability he should be a class above these.
He can run well fresh and did win only start at this track (even thought that was over 5f). All of his wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners and two of his three wins have come when ridden by P Makin.
Let's have a win bet on the horse (as only 7 runners) at 7/1 generally.
That's all for today
The horse was running in Grade 3 events in 2015 and was very lightly raced last season. If he has retained any of his former ability he should be a class above these.
He can run well fresh and did win only start at this track (even thought that was over 5f). All of his wins have come in fields of 1 to 11 runners and two of his three wins have come when ridden by P Makin.
Let's have a win bet on the horse (as only 7 runners) at 7/1 generally.
That's all for today
Sunday, January 22, 2017
23rd January 2017
BANGOR
14.20 TIMOTEO
14.20 BOBS BOY
A. KING
The trainer does well at this track with his runners in Hurdle, Maiden Hurdle, NH Flat and Handicap Chase races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 9-y-o. The horse should be ridden by W Hutchinson or W Featherstone
10 winners from 17 runners (+40.19)
Let's have a win bet on TIMOTEO (5/2 Bet365)
WJ GREATEX
The trainer does well at the track with runners in Hurdle, NH Flat, Maiden NH Flat, Novice Hurdle and Handicap Chase races when they have had no run or finished in the first 5 on their previous run
11 winners from 15 runners (+34.8)
Let's have an each way bet on BOBS BOY (8/1 Bet365)
On a busy day for the blog David and I fancy one other runner a piece
15.20 Newcastle NO PLANNING
The horse I feel will relish this step back up in trip after running well last time out over 2m4f. I do hope that he tries to make all in this small field.
He has 4 wins on soft and heavy ground. He has won 4 from 9 when racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners. He has won 5 from10 when racing 31 to 90 days. 4 of his 6 wins have come when racing in races worth less than 10k.
Let's have a win bet at 5/2 with William Hill
17.30 Wolverhampton GABRIEL THE THUG
The trainer and jockey have a good record on the AW and this horse is looking well handicapped now. 4 of his 5 wins have been over CD
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with William Hill
14.20 TIMOTEO
14.20 BOBS BOY
A. KING
The trainer does well at this track with his runners in Hurdle, Maiden Hurdle, NH Flat and Handicap Chase races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 9-y-o. The horse should be ridden by W Hutchinson or W Featherstone
10 winners from 17 runners (+40.19)
Let's have a win bet on TIMOTEO (5/2 Bet365)
WJ GREATEX
The trainer does well at the track with runners in Hurdle, NH Flat, Maiden NH Flat, Novice Hurdle and Handicap Chase races when they have had no run or finished in the first 5 on their previous run
11 winners from 15 runners (+34.8)
Let's have an each way bet on BOBS BOY (8/1 Bet365)
On a busy day for the blog David and I fancy one other runner a piece
15.20 Newcastle NO PLANNING
The horse I feel will relish this step back up in trip after running well last time out over 2m4f. I do hope that he tries to make all in this small field.
He has 4 wins on soft and heavy ground. He has won 4 from 9 when racing in fields of 1 to 7 runners. He has won 5 from10 when racing 31 to 90 days. 4 of his 6 wins have come when racing in races worth less than 10k.
Let's have a win bet at 5/2 with William Hill
17.30 Wolverhampton GABRIEL THE THUG
The trainer and jockey have a good record on the AW and this horse is looking well handicapped now. 4 of his 5 wins have been over CD
Let's have an each way bet at 5/1 with William Hill
Saturday, January 21, 2017
22nd January 2016
FONTWELL
NP MULLHOLLAND
14.00 SOUPY SOUPS
The trainers does well with his horses running in Novice Chase, Handicap Hurdle and Handicap Novice Hurdle races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 7-y-o. The horse should be running in a Class 3 or 4 race and be ridden by Noel Fehily or 6 other jockeys.
10 wins from 12 runners (+31.18)
Let's have a win bet on this horse today
That's all for today.
NP MULLHOLLAND
14.00 SOUPY SOUPS
The trainers does well with his horses running in Novice Chase, Handicap Hurdle and Handicap Novice Hurdle races when they are aged between 3-y-o and 7-y-o. The horse should be running in a Class 3 or 4 race and be ridden by Noel Fehily or 6 other jockeys.
10 wins from 12 runners (+31.18)
Let's have a win bet on this horse today
That's all for today.
Friday, January 20, 2017
January 21st 2017
We had a couple of horses that we liked at Ascot this afternoon but that meeting has been abandoned and we cannot find anything that is of interest to us at the other meetings so we will be back tomorrow
15.20 Chepstow
Well we cannot agree on this race so David and I have decided to advise two horses in this race with his been a longshot however after yesterdays winner that was well backed into 5/1 having been advised at 14/1 who I am to argue with him.
15.20 Chepstow ALTIEPIX
15.20 Chepstow LOUGHALDER
ALTIEPIX
Formally with G Elliott and now with Kerry Lee this is a horse that I have had in my notebook for some time. I feel that if he can get to the front and get into a decent rhythm he could take all the beating the only concern is that a few from this yard have needed the run. He is well suited to soft ground and this looks to be his trip
Lets have an each way bet at 5/1 with Betfred and BetVictor
LOUGHALDER
David has gone for this longshot and I will let him explain why this is
The horse really loves this track, and the below profiles are all based on his chase runs only, where he is won 4 times from 7 runs.
He has won 6 time from 13 runs when racing 16 to 30 days after last race
He always seems to come good after the New Year as he is 0 from 13 when racing in November and December but has won 8 from 15 when racing in January to May (January: 13)
The horse has won 4 from 11 on soft ground.
If today is not his day this is a horse that I will be keeping a close eye on in the coming months
Lets have a small each way bet at 40/1 with Bet365
15.20 Chepstow ALTIEPIX
15.20 Chepstow LOUGHALDER
ALTIEPIX
Formally with G Elliott and now with Kerry Lee this is a horse that I have had in my notebook for some time. I feel that if he can get to the front and get into a decent rhythm he could take all the beating the only concern is that a few from this yard have needed the run. He is well suited to soft ground and this looks to be his trip
Lets have an each way bet at 5/1 with Betfred and BetVictor
LOUGHALDER
David has gone for this longshot and I will let him explain why this is
The horse really loves this track, and the below profiles are all based on his chase runs only, where he is won 4 times from 7 runs.
He has won 6 time from 13 runs when racing 16 to 30 days after last race
He always seems to come good after the New Year as he is 0 from 13 when racing in November and December but has won 8 from 15 when racing in January to May (January: 13)
The horse has won 4 from 11 on soft ground.
If today is not his day this is a horse that I will be keeping a close eye on in the coming months
Lets have a small each way bet at 40/1 with Bet365
Thursday, January 19, 2017
20th January 2017
Good Morning
We will be back later this morning after we have had a good look at the 15.20 Chepstow.
We will be back later this morning after we have had a good look at the 15.20 Chepstow.
Wednesday, January 18, 2017
LUDLOW
13.20 MINELLA REBELLION (price condition 6/1 or less)
NJ Henderson has a very good record in NH Flat and Maiden Hurdle races at this track when the horse is priced at 6/1 or less and is ridden by one of the following jockeys - Mr Bass, P Carberry, B Geraghty, D Jacob, J McGrath, S Waley-Cohen.
10 winners from 13 runners (+10.84 points)
The horse itself was odds on for its first run at Doncaster but looked in need of that run and with the stable is much better form now I would expect an improved showing from the horse today
The sire has a 22% strike rate at this track with its progeny and also a 15% SR on soft ground.
Lets have a win bet at 4/1 with Bet365.
18.25 Chelmsford THREEBAGSUE
This horse has a great record in Class 6 events on the AW of 51111. The horse also seems a standing dish in AW Claiming races: 1211. His last win coming at this track.
The horse looks as though he has a bit to find with some of these but his record in this class of race coupled with that his price makes him a stand out bet in this race.
Lets have an each way bet at 14/1 with Bet365
13.20 MINELLA REBELLION (price condition 6/1 or less)
NJ Henderson has a very good record in NH Flat and Maiden Hurdle races at this track when the horse is priced at 6/1 or less and is ridden by one of the following jockeys - Mr Bass, P Carberry, B Geraghty, D Jacob, J McGrath, S Waley-Cohen.
10 winners from 13 runners (+10.84 points)
The horse itself was odds on for its first run at Doncaster but looked in need of that run and with the stable is much better form now I would expect an improved showing from the horse today
The sire has a 22% strike rate at this track with its progeny and also a 15% SR on soft ground.
Lets have a win bet at 4/1 with Bet365.
18.25 Chelmsford THREEBAGSUE
This horse has a great record in Class 6 events on the AW of 51111. The horse also seems a standing dish in AW Claiming races: 1211. His last win coming at this track.
The horse looks as though he has a bit to find with some of these but his record in this class of race coupled with that his price makes him a stand out bet in this race.
Lets have an each way bet at 14/1 with Bet365
Monday, January 16, 2017
EXETER
13.00 RIDGEWAY FLYER
16.20 OVER TO SAM
The trainer does especially well at this track with his runners in Maiden Hurdles, Novice Chase and Novice Hurdle races. The key jockey is Noel Fehily
13 winners from 22 runners (+44.59 points)
The stable is in good form as over the last 14 days they have had 6 winners from 17 runners (9 placed).
From the start of the year Noel Fehily has ridden 7 winners from 13 rides.
RIDGEWAY FLYER
Top rated in HorseRaceBase and second rated on speed ratings in GeegeezGold. The horse may improve again and is certainly worth an each way bet at 5/1 with BetVictor and Paddy Power.
OVER TO SAM
Very interesting runner in that he was bought by the stable after winning a point to point easily and the second from that race has already won at a decent level over hurdles. Also from a prolific NH sire. Worth a win bet at 5/2 with Bet365 and Betfred
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