Friday, February 3, 2017

14.05 Mussleburgh ALVARADO

The horse will have to run well in this race to get his handicap mark so he can once again have a tilt at the Grand National.  I do feel he will enjoy this step back up in trip and although in some quarters there are concerns about this tight track his record here reads: 212.

Good ground: 11PU51, 4m+: 244, RH track: 5 wins from11 runs

Let's have a each way bet at 6/1 with Bet365

15.35 Sandown OTAGO TRAIL

The horse is very classy at his best as he showed when beating Bristol De Mai and then finishing second behind the same horse in the Peter Marsh at Haydock. Will love this ground and if he can get an easy lead I feel he can run these ragged.

All wins have come on soft or heavy ground, RH track:11321, Listed to Class 3: 13111, best on tracks with undulations.

Let's have a win bet at 9/2 with Bet365

The trail did very well yesterday with two winners.  There is one race with two qualifiers today and I am not sure whether we should use this type of race, but we can always review the rules as we go along.

TRIAL - Trainer/Jockey combination

M Carberry/ B Ellison 40%SR. 15.15 Mussleburgh DORMINADA

BJ Geraghty/ H Fry 40% SR 15.00 Sandown BEHIND TIME

D Jacob/NA Twiston Davies 38%SR  15.00 Sandown EL TERREMOTO

A Kirby/ E Williams 37% SR 13.25 Lingfield BARON FLYER and 16.15 Lingfield APPLE DAYS

BJ Geraghty/P Hobbs 33% SR 13.15 Sandown BOLD HENRY


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