Friday, February 10, 2017

11th February 2017 (update 1)

David has two horses for us today and both are longer odds hopefully they run as well as RUSSE BLANC and GABREY CHEVERTIN.

This is our 1st update as we are still looking at another couple of races.  If we have anything our second update will be later this morning

14.20 Uttoxeter LOUGHALDER

The reasons behind picking this horse are two-fold.

1.  For some bizarre reason he does seem to run well on his 5th start of the season. His record since going chasing on this start reads: 3111.  Last year he was pulled up on his two previous starts and won at 16/1 next time out and he follows the same pattern this year as he has been pulled up on his last two starts.

2.  His record at this track In handicap chase races reads: 121

The horse has won 5 from11 when racing in fields of 8 to 11 runners and Charlie Poste has 7 wins from 28 rides.

He will handle the ground conditions and he usually comegood at around this time of year

It may be that he is regressing but if he was agressively ridden ad could jump off in front I would feel that he was trying today.  If it is not his day today we will be keeping an eye on him especially if dropped back to a Class 5 chase.  However at today's odds and his record on his 5th start and at this track he is worth an investment.

Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 25/1 with BetVictor.

16.35 Uttoxeter CALCULATED RISK

The horse went close at Ffos Las under similar conditions and I expect a good run from him today especially as the trainer does seem to be in form (unlike a lot of this field)

He clearly handles this ground having won 2 from 6 starts

The horse has won 2 from 7 when racing at 2m4f

The horse has dropped to a really low mark and does seem to come good at this time of year as well as the fact that he goes well on track that are slightly undulating or undulating.

Also Lizzie Kelly comes here for this ride after two rides at Warwick.

Let's have an each way bet at 10/1 with BetVictor





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