Tuesday, February 7, 2017

After the Calm the Storm

Having had a few blank days recently the racing has improved today and we have a few value bets today (well in our opinion anyway).  There may be one more selection from Chelmsford but I am waiting on David for that one so will be back later, no later than midday.

We will start with the horse that we put up last night.

17.50 Kempton LIZZIES DREAM

The horse does seem to like the Polytrack surface having won 4 from 5 races on it, what we can see that since Wolves change to Tapeta he has never won at that track.

He has won both starts at this track but it was his record in Class 7 races that caught my eye: 51111

When racing 16 to 30 days after last race: 191

When acing in February: 161

15.10 Ludlow ALTIEPIX

The horse travelled really well last time out at Chepstow and looked the winner 3 out, but he seemed to run out of steam, as though the race was needed, and he should come on for that run. It is interesting that she has dropped the horse back in distance today

All of his wins have come on a RH track so the return to this direction is a plus.

Let's have an each way bet on the horse at 11/2 Bet365

16.30 Carlisle RUSSE BLANC

The horse has finally come down in the ratings and is only 2lb higher than winning at Warwick last season.  The ground is ideal and he looks as though this may be his race for the season. The drop in grade should also help.

His record in handicap races at this track reads: 321

He has a small field today which also suits as he is 4 from 14 in fields of 11 runners or less and 1 from15 in fields of 12 runners+.

Let's have an each way bet at 12/1 with Bet365



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